CAR Heads to the Voting Stations as President Seeks a Third Mandate

This Sunday, the nation of CAR will hold a pivotal series of four votes, including the presidency, national assembly, and local seats.

A Crowded Presidential Field

A field of seven contenders are vying for the top office, among them former prime ministers Anicet Georges Dologuélé and Henri-Marie Dondra. Both men were given approval to run by the high court after initial bans. Dologuélé finished second in the last two elections, while Dondra had a short tenure under the incumbent.

Challengers' Strategy and Public Discontent

The challengers aims to capitalize on widespread frustration in a country where violence remains a daily reality. More than half a million people are displaced within their own country, with a similar number living as exiles in bordering states.

"This is an chance to commend the significant progress of the nation," noted a senior UN diplomat, adding that obstacles remain.

Touadéra's Expected Victory

Despite the competition, President Faustin-Archange Touadéra, a former mathematics professor, is largely predicted to secure another term. He transitioned into politics in 2008 when named prime minister, holding the post until a insurgent alliance toppled the government in 2013, triggering a civil war.

After a chaotic three-year interim, his reputation for impartiality from the main militias powered his runoff win in 2016.

Election Risks and Voting Challenges

There are fears that logistical problems and violence could disrupt the vote, particularly in the countryside. The UN peacekeeping mission, Minusca, is providing protection and logistical support that the state's crumbling infrastructure cannot manage.

Further issues involve the electoral roll being made available only digitally, a significant barrier in a country with limited internet access. These irregularities have prompted an electoral boycott and could, as noted by analysts, "exclude many of the population."

Stakes of a Third Term

Many residents worry that another term for Touadéra—enabled by a 2023 charter change that abolished term limits and extended mandates—would mean greater influence for outside interests.

The president has relied on the private military group Wagner for his protection, and despite its founder's death, has resisted calls to fold its fighters into a successor entity. In contrast, Rwanda has pursued a separate strategy, focusing on commercial ventures within CAR.

Allegations of Asset Sales

Recent reports have stated the administration evicted its own soldiers from a internationally financed facility to make way for a Rwandan livestock operation. A pro-opposition editorial accused the leadership of being "intent on dispose of the country bit by bit."

Amid a newly signed agreement with armed factions offering hope of stabilization, the election proceeds under a cloud of uncertainty and geopolitical rivalry.

Jason Thomas
Jason Thomas

Tech strategist and innovation consultant with over a decade of experience in digital transformation and emerging technologies.